Starship Flight 15: what happens to the ship? (first tower catch attempt, by Nov 30)
TechOne-OffRuimtevaart1mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingCaught by the tower 51.3%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+13.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd4 okt 26, 12:18 UTC1 dec 26, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
SpaceX's Starship Flight 15 (expected vehicles: Booster 22 / Ship 42, provisionally no earlier than Oct 19, 2026) is the planned first attempt to catch the Starship upper stage (the ship) with the launch tower's arms.
- Elon Musk put the odds of a successful first catch at "at least 50 or 60 percent." Flight 14 (Sep 28) ended with the ship splashing down in the Pacific as planned.
- This market asks what happens to Flight 15's SHIP.
- Only one answer can win.
- the named outcome.
- SpaceX confirms, or official SpaceX video clearly shows, that the ship was caught and held by the tower arms.
