Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 67.2%
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
28 mei 26, 12:42 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will be the name of the combined SpaceX / Tesla company in 2028?
Manifold MarketsTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketWill Project Bromo (the Airbus–Leonardo–Thales space merger) be completed by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsMPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
PolymarketTrump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) legally complete a corporate merger, acquisition, or combine into a single corporate structure under a unified parent company on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Completed/Closed Transaction Required: A mere announcement of an agreement is not sufficient; the transaction must be legally completed (closed).
- Unified Parent/Holding Structure: If both companies are folded into a newly created holding company where they operate as subsidiaries under the same corporate umbrella, this will resolve the market to YES.
- Exclusions: Joint ventures (such as the "Terafab" Austin semiconductor facility), commercial supply agreements, or technology sharing partnerships do not qualify as a merger for the purpose of this market.
Open markten
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 82,1K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 17,9K
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 15K
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 13,7K
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Israeli Legislative Election Winner
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 67% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028 afgewikkeld?
- SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria