Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 55.1%
Voorspellers
48
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
16 mei 25, 17:34 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by which date?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWill John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator John Fetterman officially changes his party affiliation from the Democratic Party to any other party or to Independent before the conclusion of the 2028 United States presidential election.
- The change must be publicly announced and reflected in official records, such as the U.S. Senate's party affiliation listings.
- If no such change occurs by the date of the 2028 election, the market will resolve to "No."
- Senator John Fetterman, representing Pennsylvania, has been a member of the Democratic Party throughout his political career.
- In early 2025, speculation arose regarding a potential party switch due to his collaborations with Republican figures and support for certain policies aligned with the GOP.