Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.5%
Voorspellers
44
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
16 mei 25, 17:34 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by which date?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWill John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by Sept. 30?
PredictItWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator John Fetterman officially changes his party affiliation from the Democratic Party to any other party or to Independent before the conclusion of the 2028 United States presidential election.
- The change must be publicly announced and reflected in official records, such as the U.S. Senate's party affiliation listings.
- If no such change occurs by the date of the 2028 election, the market will resolve to "No."
- Senator John Fetterman, representing Pennsylvania, has been a member of the Democratic Party throughout his political career.
- In early 2025, speculation arose regarding a potential party switch due to his collaborations with Republican figures and support for certain policies aligned with the GOP.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 112,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,2 mln.
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 184,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 891,3K
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 4,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 505,9K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 25,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 384,3K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 358,3K
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- Iowa Senate winner?
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- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? afgewikkeld?
- Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria