Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.2%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
5 mei 25, 04:30 UTC2 jan 30, 05:29 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the hypothetical Planet 9 be discovered before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the hypothetical Planet Nine is officially named "Hades" upon its confirmed discovery.
- The official naming must be recognized by the International Astronomical Union (IAU) or an equivalent authoritative body.
- If Planet Nine is discovered and given a different name, or if it remains undiscovered by the market's closing date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Planet Nine is a theoretical ninth planet in the outer Solar System, proposed to explain the unusual clustering of certain trans-Neptunian objects' orbits.
- Its existence remains unconfirmed, and no official name has been assigned.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 89,7K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Totaal volume
- € 101,9K
- 24u volume
- € 26,2K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,5K
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 89% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? afgewikkeld?
- Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria: