Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 66.9%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd3 jan 26, 06:07 UTC14 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Democrats Outperform their 2018 Midterm Results? [Win more than 235 seats in 2026]
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegels
Dan Osborn is running for Senate in Nebraska again in 2026, and is once again expected to make it a relatively close race in a deep red state.
- He is running against a different candidate, Pete Ricketts, this time though. 2026 is also expected to favor the democrats, though Osborn is an independent and has refused the Democratic endorsement.
- The market will resolve to YES if Dan Osborn receives more than the 46.52% of the vote he got in 2024.
- It is NOT based on margin of victory or loss, just voteshare
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Osborn outperforms his 2024 results??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 67% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Osborn outperforms his 2024 results? afgewikkeld?
- Osborn outperforms his 2024 results? wordt naar verwachting op 14 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Osborn outperforms his 2024 results? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Dan Osborn is running for Senate in Nebraska again in 2026, and is once again expected to make it a relatively close race in a deep red state.