NZ election: Labour v National, Who gets higher % of Party List Vote
8.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing1mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNational 53%+8.0pt
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+3.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd18 okt 26, 08:32 UTC19 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- New Zealand uses a mixed-member proportional electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member electorate and one party vote for a political party list.
- This market will resolve to “Labour” if the Labour Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the National Party in this election.
- This market will resolve to “National” if the National Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the Labour Party in this election.
- Percentages of valid party list votes received by the Labour Party and the National Party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid party list votes each party receives by the sum of all valid party list votes cast in the election.
- This market includes party list votes cast by both the general electorate and the Māori electorate.
