Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88.5%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd30 apr 25, 17:32 UTC30 apr 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiWho will win the 2028 Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Canadian federal election is held on or before April 30, 2027.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Canada has recently conducted a federal election on April 28, 2025, resulting in the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, forming a minority government.
- (reuters.com) Under the Canada Elections Act, federal elections are scheduled every four years, with the next fixed date being October 15, 2029.
- However, the prime minister can request the governor general to dissolve Parliament, potentially leading to an earlier election.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 89% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 30 april 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria: