New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030?

Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 52.3% per 19 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030 afgewikkeld?

New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt New Zealand's annual temperature anomaly (against a 1960-90 climate baseline) will not be below +1°C before 2030 afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if the annual temperature anomaly (against the 1960-1990 baseline period for long-term climate change assessments used by StatsNZ) is not recorded to be below +1°C in any years leading up but not including 2030.

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KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?

• West Palm Beach+65.0pt99.5%
• Albuquerque+35.0pt77.5%
• Miami-21.0pt21%

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Totaal volume

€ 458,3K

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€ 402K

KALSHI

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?

• 62° to 63°+43.0pt99.5%
• 64° to 65°-27.0pt0.5%
• 60° to 61°-12.0pt

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Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?

• 85° to 86°+35.0pt99.5%
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KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 20, 2026?

• Albuquerque49.5%
• Miami49.5%
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KALSHI

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• 67° to 68°+41.0pt99.5%
• 65° to 66°-17.0pt0.5%
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