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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd7 sep 26, 14:36 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?
Manifold MarketsBlack hole spin-flip a cause of X-shaped radio galaxy?
Manifold MarketsWill the Milky Way collide with the Andromeda galaxy?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegels
The current record is MoM-z14, a galaxy at redshift z=14.44.
- Its light traveled 13.5 billion years to reach us, and is now 33.8 billion light years away (space expands)
- It appears as it was 280 million years after the big bang
- Resolves YES if a galaxy with a spectroscopic redshift above 14.44 is reported before Jan 1, 2028.
- Resolution follows the List of the most distant astronomical objects - Wikipedia - confirmed objects section.
- If that entry shows z>14.44 and cites a published paper or preprint, this resolves YES.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 85,3K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 153,6K
- 24u volume
- € 39,2K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 409,9K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 50% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027 afgewikkeld?
- New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The current record is MoM-z14, a galaxy at redshift z=14.44.