Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.5%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd5 dec 25, 21:02 UTC31 dec 34, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolves NO if the series finishes adapting the book series up to and including the Deathly Hallows.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if a cancellation is officially announced, or if more than 2 years have passed since the last part with no release in sight.
- Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the series diverges from the books but finishes on its own terms:
- If it feels rushed, resolves YES
- If it feels well-paced and covers a roughly equivalent length of events, resolves NO
- If particularly close, trader consensus will be sought; if no reasonable consensus, resolves N/A