Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJD Vance (@jd-vance-1.bsky.social) 76.7%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd31 dec 25, 08:53 UTC1 jan 27, 07:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Most blocked non-government account on Bluesky at the end of 2026
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criterion
- This market will resolve to the Bluesky account that is blocked by more Bluesky users than any other Bluesky account at the close date.
- Resolution source
- The resolution of this market will be informed by the data available on clearsky.app.
- Should the resolution source become inactive, it may be substituted with another credible source.
- This market is set to close at 07:00:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 693K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 266,9K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 248,7K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst JD Vance (@jd-vance-1.bsky.social) op 77% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criterion