![[Metaculus] Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FgnD3tFYrK-.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D2600ee57-86fa-402d-b879-8d974b9b3ad3&w=128&q=80)
[Metaculus] Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
WeerDaily3j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 95.6%
Nee 95.6%Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 34 minuten geleden
7 okt 23, 12:41 UTC2 jan 30, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, credible sources report that a superconductor has been used in a commercial application at room temperature and ambient pressure.
- For the purposes of this question a commercial application will be considered to be one which is used as an intermediate product in the production of another product or service, or in other words not a novelty item or toy.
- To qualify, all of the following must be confirmed by publicly available information about the superconductor itself or must have been demonstrated through credible published research for the material of which the superconductor is made:
