Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028
One-OffManifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Yes (91.1%)
Afgewikkeld: 5 aug 2026, 19:48
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 91.1%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 dagen geleden
Verouderd3 aug 26, 21:585 aug 26, 19:48
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes91.1%
No8.900000000000006%
91.1%
8.9%
Regels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Jason Arday is no longer employed by the University of Cambridge in any academic capacity (including as a professor, lecturer, or researcher) on or before December 31, 2027.
- The market resolves to NO if he remains employed by the University of Cambridge as of December 31, 2027.
- Source of Truth: Employment status will be verified using the official University of Cambridge Faculty of Education staff directory or via official statements from the University of Cambridge and major reputable news outlets (such as The Guardian, The Telegraph, or Times Higher Education).
- Leaves of Absence: If Professor Arday is on a temporary sabbatical, suspension, or medical leave of absence but remains officially on the university payroll, the market resolves to NO.
- Termination/Resignation: If he permanently leaves his role due to resignation, termination, retirement, or transfer to another institution, the market resolves to YES.
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 91% per 6 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 afgewikkeld?
- Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 wordt naar verwachting op 5 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria