Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96.3%
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd24 sep 25, 21:15 UTC1 jan 29, 22:13 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
PolymarketJames Comey charges dropped by December 31?
PolymarketWill James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
KalshiWill James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
LimitlessWill Hasan Piker be indicted for a federal crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, before market close, a U.S. federal district court enters a signed judgment of conviction against James B. Comey (born 1960) for any federal criminal offense (felony or misdemeanor), whether by guilty plea (including nolo contendere) or by guilty verdict.
- Acceptable evidence: (a) the judgment on the federal docket (PACER) or a mirror via CourtListener/RECAP; or (b) a DOJ press release that explicitly states he was convicted and identifies the case.
- Rule 32(k) defines “judgment of conviction.” (pacer.uscourts.gov)
- Resolves NO if no such federal conviction is entered by market close.
- Indictments, informations, complaints, arrests, congressional referrals, civil matters, and any state or local convictions do not count.