Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 99%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd29 mrt 26, 21:11 UTC30 dec 26, 20:10 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketCalifornia Governor winner? (Person)
KalshiRegels
Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.
- If he announced it was a stunt to see which conservatives would support him.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt70.3%
- Yes+5.0pt29.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 14,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 759K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.1%
- D-House, R-Senate34.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.4%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt13%
+48 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change60.8%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt36.3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt64%
- October 31+2.0pt37%
- September 3017%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBlanchet vs Harris
- Ugo Blanchet55.5%
- Billy Harris44.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 378,8K
- 24u volume
- € 263,3K
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Is James fishback a stunt??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 99% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Is James fishback a stunt? afgewikkeld?
- Is James fishback a stunt? wordt naar verwachting op 30 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Is James fishback a stunt? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.