Is it extremely likely Democrats will win the house in 2026 midterm elections?
39.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20261mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingYes, Democrats will win a clear majority 89%+39.0ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+39.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
3 nov 26, 06:46 UTC31 dec 26, 11:00 UTC
Trends
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ForecastExRegels
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option will resolve YES or NO independently based on official certification and election returns from the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections (concluding with the seating of the 120th Congress in January 2027).
- The official seat count will be verified via the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives or major election reporting consensus (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ).
- The total voting membership of the U.S. House of Representatives is 435 seats (218 required for an outright majority).
- Options resolve as follows:
