Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 67%
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd7 apr 25, 20:59 UTC15 jan 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Manifold MarketsTrump administration does another regime change after removing Venezuela's Maduro?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.
- It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or fundamentally transforms into a different system of government during Trump's term.
- Happy to clarify edge cases.
