Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMarch 13 0%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
29
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
10 mrt 26, 1:011 jan 27, 0:58
Trends
0%
0%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
June 301%
Platforms vergelijken· Dec 31
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Iran leadership change by which date?
0.8%5mnd
-2.5%37%
-5.0%21%
-1.0%12%
+7 extra uitkomsten
73 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 18,4 mln.
24u volume€ 153,8K
POLYMARKET
Ook beschikbaar op Futuur
Iran leadership change by which date?
5mnd
30%
5%
4%
28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 355,1
24u volume€ 0
FUTUURRegels
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$3.0k38.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — YesParz1vaI2 uur geleden
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — YesParz1vaI2 uur geleden$4.1k93.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by August 31? — NoMrNoItAll9 uur geleden
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by August 31? — NoMrNoItAll9 uur geleden$10.0k98.5%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nosharrdiogisteren
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nosharrdiogisteren$1.5k96.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nononkenny90eergisteren
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nononkenny90eergisteren$2.9k73.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by December 31? — NoFATMANeergisteren
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by December 31? — NoFATMANeergisteren$4.9k93.3%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoScottyNooo5 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoScottyNooo5 dgn geleden$2.2k94.9%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoRizzEmWithTheTism6 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoRizzEmWithTheTism6 dgn geleden$6.3k96.4%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoStudentMoney10 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoStudentMoney10 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$158 jul9d aan data26 jul
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Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.