Manifold MarketsGeen KYCHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMarch 13 0%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 dagen geleden
Verouderd10 mrt 26, 1:011 jan 27, 0:58
Trends
0%
0%
Gekozen uitkomst
June 308%
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Iran leadership change by...?
0.6%6mnd
+1.0%30%
+0.6%5%
0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
89 • Hoge kwaliteitGematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 15 mln.
24u volume€ 53K
POLYMARKETRegels
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.