Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 94%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 34 minuten geleden
18 aug 24, 08:57 UTC2 jan 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
In 2030, a majority of experts will look back and agree that there was not significant justification for believing with greater than 90% confidence that Llama 3.1 405 would not provide the foundation for nefarious actors to produce existentially risky artificially intelligent systems.
- Will resolve to a consensus of experts in 2030.
- If no clear data exists that demonstrates the opinion of experts, a poll will be used for resolution.
