In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
EntertainmentOne-Off1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 52.1%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd1 aug 26, 16:23 UTC2 jan 28, 07:59 UTC
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In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
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Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiHighest grossing movie in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Similar to the main market, but the following are allowed:
- Giving the AI a full script as a prompt, written by either human, AI, or both.
- Any other inputs.
- Pictures, 3d renders of characters, video clips, even entire other movies, as long as the majority audio-visual output is not present in the input.
- Any editing of the movie after the AI creates it, as long as the movie is still predominantly AI generated.
- The quality criteria are the same.
Open markten
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 319,8K
- 24u volume
- € 98K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 80K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 130,6K
- 24u volume
- € 45,3K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4 mln.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 52% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid? afgewikkeld?
- In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Similar to the main market, but the following are allowed: