If Trump is assassinated will the S&P500 rise >3% in the following week?
AandelenOne-OffAmerikaanse politiek2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 68.5%
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Verouderd19 apr 25, 01:14 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves yes if Trump is assassinated before January 20, 2029 AND in the week following (starting at the time of the fatal attack, even if death occurs at a later time) SPX increases by at least 3% (measured by exact price to exact price, or most recent close if the attack occurs outside trading hours) according to Yahoo Finance.
- Resolves no if Trump is assassinated and SPX does not increase by >3%.
- Resolves NA if Trump is not assassinated before January 20, 2029.
