If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
Politiek2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingLabour 55.1%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-4.8 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd20 apr 26, 14:40 UTC14 aug 29, 23:00 UTC
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KalshiRegels
If a party has the most or second most seats following the next UK general election (currently scheduled for August 2029), resolves YES if they have the most seats, NO if they have the second most seats, and N/A otherwise.
- If two parties are tied for first or second, both resolve NO.
- The attempted purpose of this market is to determine which party one should prefer be in the top-2, if they're a progressive or lower-c conservative and want progressives or conservatives to win regardless of the specific party.
