If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingGeopolitiek2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 54.6%
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47
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 14 minuten geleden
31 dec 24, 13:07 UTC21 jan 29, 22:59 UTC
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Will elements of the Trump administration attempt a coup by the end of January 2029?
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PolymarketWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketRegels
High-ranking Republicans with plausible knowledge by the candidate
- Militias like the Proud Boys count
- MAGA-aligned independent would count
- Needs to have had a significant (>=10%) chance of success, according to traders' opinions
- Aborted plan or random document doesn't count
- Plan needs to be executed, or disrupted by law enforcement