If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiek1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 75.3%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd7 okt 26, 02:14 UTC2 jan 28, 17:00 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Condition: Republicans win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Republican Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Democrats or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if VoteHub's polling average of Donald Trump's job approval is 40.0% or higher for January 1, 2028 (the value VoteHub shows for that date).
- If VoteHub's average is unavailable, uses the RealClearPolling average instead.
- Resolves NO otherwise, and N/A if Trump is not President on that date.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the House.
