Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 96.7%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd3 feb 23, 04:42 UTC1 jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWill Isaac King set his curtain on fire?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about Isaac's job market?
Manifold MarketsBurger King Foot Traffic in September
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketLargest Company end of September?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if:
- I find out that @IsaacKing is dead or incapacitated for at least a year AND
- In the year following his incapacitation or death, at least 3 of his markets, or 50% of his markets that closed in that yearlong period (whichever is fewer), are resolved
- Resolves NO if I find out that Isaac is dead/incapacitated but the second YES condition isn't met in the year following his death/incapacitation.
- It doesn't matter who resolves the markets; it could be Isaac's partner, Manifold employees, a community resolution consensus, a computer program, or anything else.
Open markten
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 180,1K
- 24u volume
- € 180,1K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 182,1K
- 24u volume
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 60,4K
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor If Isaac King dies or is incapacitated, will his markets be resolved??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt If Isaac King dies or is incapacitated, will his markets be resolved? afgewikkeld?
- If Isaac King dies or is incapacitated, will his markets be resolved? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2101 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt If Isaac King dies or is incapacitated, will his markets be resolved? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if: