If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 56%
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd10 feb 26, 01:46 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
Manifold MarketsIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNH-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiNH-02 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegels
Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 56% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? afgewikkeld?
- If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.