Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 66.6%
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 minuten geleden
19 mei 26, 20:40 UTC19 mei 76, 20:38 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketRegels
This market resolves Yes if Elon Musk personally flies aboard a spacecraft that reaches an altitude exceeding 2,000 km above Earth's surface (or achieves a trajectory that escapes Low Earth Orbit) at any point before his death.
- It resolves No only if he does fly to space (crossing the Kármán line at 100 km) during his lifetime but all of his spaceflights remain in Low Earth Orbit (maximum altitude below 2,000 km).
- The market will be voided (N/A) if Elon Musk never flies to space at all before his death.
