If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 65.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd24 aug 25, 18:33 UTC31 aug 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, conditional on Zohran Mamdani being elected New York City mayor in November 2025 and taking office on January 1, 2026, the latest publicly released poll with fieldwork ending between August 1–31, 2028 measuring “job approval” of Mayor Zohran Mamdani among NYC adults, registered voters, or likely voters shows Approve > Disapprove (net approval > 0).
- Ties (Approve = Disapprove) resolve NO.
- Favorability-only polls do not count.
- Examples of qualifying pollsters include Quinnipiac University Poll and Marist Poll; results will be verified from their official releases.
- (poll.qu.edu, maristpoll.marist.edu)
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 66% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? afgewikkeld?
- If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 augustus 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria