Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 90.7%
Voorspellers
126
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd21 aug 24, 06:37 UTC1 jan 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump Pardon SBF by the end of January 2029?
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FutuurRegels
(@JoelBecker and I put a handshake bet on this at 2%, my $10 to his $490)
- Update 2025-03-09: Dropping the conditional "If Elected" from the title, as Trump won election.
- Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
- The market will resolve after Trump's current term ends
- The market will resolve if a pardon occurs
- Resolution happens at the earliest of the above events
