Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 63.5%
Voorspellers
39
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd19 mrt 26, 02:01 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
KalshiWill Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?
PredictItWill Chuck Schumer run for reelection?
KalshiRegels
Resolves n/a if democrats do not control the senate after the 2026 elections.
- Resolves yes if chuck schumer is the first senate democratic leader after the 2026 elections
- Resolves no if anyone else is the first senate democratic leader after the 2026 elections
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 64% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader? afgewikkeld?
- IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader? wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves n/a if democrats do not control the senate after the 2026 elections.