If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiek2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 23 okt 2026, 14:06 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 61.5%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 21 minuten geleden
7 okt 26, 02:05 UTC3 jan 29, 17:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the House impeach Trump again?
PredictItWill the House impeach a federal judge this year?
KalshiWho will the House impeach first before 2028?
KalshiRegels
Condition: Democrats win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Democratic Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Republicans or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if the U.S. House adopts at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump between January 3, 2027 and January 3, 2029 (inclusive).
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Republicans keep the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
