How many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)
TechOne-OffUS PoliticsChina1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 4 jun 2026, 19:04 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling10-15 31.4%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 54 dagen geleden
Verouderd2 jun 26, 23:4631 dec 27, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
10-1531%
Gerelateerde Markten
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
€ 1,1KChina invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
AI bubble burst by which date?
€ 1,8K2026: 19%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
€ 814,3Ja: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
€ 316Ja: 84.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?
€ 87,8Zhuque-3 (LandSpace): 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
€ 11,6Before Jan 1, 2028: 36%
KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraphRegels
Both 'flips' and 'flops' are counted, so a flip to yes and then no counts as 2.
- Will be pretty generous in judging what counts as a flip or flop.
- This market is not super serious, resolution will be most likely delegated to chatgpt (whose current count is 13).