Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBelow 1:59:30 59.7%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd16 mei 26, 05:54 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?
Manifold MarketsWill the SMB1 Any% (NTSC) world record go to 4:54.265 or lower by January 1, 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the Minecraft Any% glitchless world record speedrun be beat by EOY?
Manifold MarketsUS Open Men's Singles Winner
KalshiUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Polymarket2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiRegels
The performance must meet the criteria to be ratified as a world record by World Athletics.
- Ratification can happen after the end of 2026 as long as the race itself was held before the end of 2026.
- This is a cumulative probability market, meaning all applicable answers will resolve YES, so e.g. if the WR stands at 1:59:15, both "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" will resolve YES.
Open markten
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 11,2 mln.
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24 mln.
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,6K
- 24u volume
- € 1,9 mln.
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,9 mln.
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,1 mln.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Below 1:59:30 op 60% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How low will the Marathon World Record go before the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The performance must meet the criteria to be ratified as a world record by World Athletics.