Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingFull 4-year term or more 68%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd2 mei 25, 13:42 UTC31 okt 29, 04:30 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Trump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
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Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to the option that accurately reflects the duration of Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government, measured from his swearing-in on March 14, 2025, until the end of his tenure as Prime Minister.
- The available options are:
- the named outcome
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 193,6 mln.
- 24u volume
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 506,4K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 843,4K
- 24u volume
- € 408K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last??
- Manifold Markets prijst Full 4-year term or more op 68% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last? afgewikkeld?
- How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last? wordt naar verwachting op 31 oktober 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria: