Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2026 49%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd2 jun 25, 05:12 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsWill the world achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2060?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first year in which global carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from fossil fuels and industry decrease compared to the previous year.
- If no such decrease occurs by the end of 2029, the market will resolve to "the named outcome." The primary source for determining annual CO₂ emissions will be the Global Carbon Project's annual reports, which provide comprehensive and widely recognized data on global emissions.
- These reports, detailing emissions data for the preceding year, are typically published in an initial form in November or December of each year followed by a revised version a few months later.
- For example, the final revised 2024 report, released in March 2025, contains data for the year 2023.
- The most recent report can be accessed here: https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/965/2025/essd-17-965-2025-discussion.html
