Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
One-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezingTechSpacePolitiek22dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.5%
Voorspellers
38
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jun 25, 20:22 UTC30 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, Elon Musk publicly endorses any candidate participating in a Democratic primary election during that year.
- An endorsement is defined as a public statement of support for a specific candidate, made through any of Musk's official communication channels, including but not limited to his social media accounts, public speeches, or official press releases.
- The endorsement must be verifiable through reputable news sources or Musk's official communications.
- If no such endorsement is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, has a history of political involvement that spans various affiliations.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 93% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria