Elon Musk actually gifts a SpaceX share to every American child in 2027?
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Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 64.9%
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124
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
19 okt 26, 20:35 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Here's the context: Elon Musk (@elonmusk) on X
- Resolution details:
- They don't need to receive the money within 2027.
- If a consensus of credible reporting says that Musk has initiated the process within the calendar year of 2027, then I'll leave the market open and it can resolve once the money is received (even if that stretches beyond 2027).
- It needs to cover >90% of children (<5 years old at the start of 2027) who are American citizens during the year 2027.
- It is ok if a smaller % actually receive it (e.g., the parent has to put in some work to get it).