Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 52.3%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd9 aug 25, 11:41 UTC2 jun 30, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any municipality in Ontario get amalgamated before Doug Ford leaves office?
Manifold MarketsDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketWill Toronto bike lanes be removed due to Doug Ford? [v2]
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegels
Resolves to NO if Doug Ford does not run for Premier or is no longer part of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario.
- The next provincial election has not been called yet, so deadline will be adjusted accordingly.
- Making this question early because friends and I disagree.
- They think the electorate wants change after a a leader has had a long tenure and that Ford won mostly due to fears around Trump.
- I think Ontario genuinely likes Ford and distrusts the other parties.
- Furthermore, I think its unlikely for the other parties to find a charismatic/compelling leader.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 52% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? afgewikkeld?
- Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? wordt naar verwachting op 2 juni 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to NO if Doug Ford does not run for Premier or is no longer part of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario.