Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 52.3%
Voorspellers
5
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd9 aug 25, 11:41 UTC2 jun 30, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves to NO if Doug Ford does not run for Premier or is no longer part of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario.
- The next provincial election has not been called yet, so deadline will be adjusted accordingly.
- Making this question early because friends and I disagree.
- They think the electorate wants change after a a leader has had a long tenure and that Ford won mostly due to fears around Trump.
- I think Ontario genuinely likes Ford and distrusts the other parties.
- Furthermore, I think its unlikely for the other parties to find a charismatic/compelling leader.