Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 53.5%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd12 aug 26, 16:29 UTC20 jan 29, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Trump pardons in 2026
FutuurWill Barron Trump ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWill Barron Trump and Ivanka Trump be President?
Manifold MarketsWill Barron Trump graduate from NYU on time or earlier?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiRegels
Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumppardons/who-will-trump-pardon/kxtrumppardons-29jan21
- If Barron Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from White House and New York Times.
- (Identical market to: source market)
