Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 66.5% per 31 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother? afgewikkeld?

Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.

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Nee 66.5%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Bijgewerkt 20 uur geleden

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22 okt 26, 21:06 UTC31 dec 28, 22:02 UTC

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Resolves according to a consensus of popular reporting at the end of 2028 (or earlier, if this consensus arises).

If there's an open debate and reporting disagrees on the subject, or even if reporting refuses to touch this story with a 10-foot pole but most traders on here have convincing evidence supporting or rejecting this thesis, then this may resolve according to my judgment, consulting with other Manifold moderators / superusers / expert forecasters.
I will obviously not bet on this market.
Yes, half-siblings count.
Resolves to the spirit of the question.
If her ex-husband was, say, her adopted brother, but DNA tests show no relation, his would still count as well.