Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 20:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 79.7%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 29 minuten geleden
9 nov 23, 22:36 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Nadine Dorries' new book claims that, amongst other things, "A shadowy cabal, Dorries calls ‘the movement’, has been pulling strings in the Conservative party for years" and "a very frightening individual I have codenamed Dr No [...] frequently plotted against Johnson and is now grooming Kemi Badenoch for Tory leader".
- My current position on these allegations are that they're made by someone who doesn't have the strongest grip on the facts of reality and has suddenly found herself out of a job and with a need to make some cash quickly.
- Resolves YES at market close if I believe that the allegations as presented are broadly true if somewhat overdramatised.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- If I'm not confident either way then I will resolve to my % credence that the claims are true.
- As this is an opinion market I will not bet.
