Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Voorspellers
5
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d wijziging
+10.5 pts
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Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd29 okt 24, 23:49 UTC1 jan 29, 22:59 UTC
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For simplicity, Trump "loses" if he does not win the election and Bezos will be considered "richer" if Forbes estimates his net worth to be higher than $208.4 billion at any point during 2028; otherwise, he will be considered "poorer." This covers all possible outcomes, including unlikely ones.
- If Forbes is not in business anymore by 2028, an alternative credible estimate will be used.
- I will not bet in this market.
