Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAbove 56 12.8%-0.2ptKoploper van 14 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+5.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd29 okt 26, 07:12 UTC1 feb 29, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Democratic Senate odds on November 1?
PolymarketDemocratic Senate odds on November 2?
PolymarketWhich Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
KalshiDemocratic Senate odds on November 2?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdsenateseats/democratic-senate-seats/kxdsenateseats-29
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.