Conditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
Politiek2j
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Decrease drastically (>= 0.68 && <= 0.72) 35.6%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Decrease drastically (>= 0.68 && <= 0.72) 35.6%Voorspellers
27
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd9 okt 24, 21:21 UTC31 mrt 29, 21:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
WIll resolve based on the Electoral Deomcracy Index from our world in data which is based on the V-Dem report.
- 2023 the US got 0.85.
- Will resolve to NA if trump is not elected in 2024 (all mana returned).
- Otherwise, will resolve once the data for 2028 is released (probably march 2029).
- https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/democracy?tab=chart&time=1975..latest&showSelectionOnlyInTable=1&country=~USA&Dataset=Varieties+of+Democracy&Metric=Electoral+democracy&Sub-metric=Main+index
- For reference the following indexes were given in 2023.