Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

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Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 07:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4

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Nee 79.5%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden

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12 jan 24, 13:48 UTC31 dec 27, 22:59 UTC

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Does DPP's non-corporation with China increase the chance of invasion?

(https://manifold.markets/embed/AmmonLam/condition-on-dpp-winning-the-2024-e-5fa80f0dc747)
Resolution follows the same criteria as https://manifold.markets/MarlonK/will-china-attempt-to-invade-taiwan
This market will resolve "yes" if there is a Chinese military attack with the intention to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027.
This question is answered "No" if there is:
no military conflict between the two parties

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