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Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 00:23 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
2030/01/01 88.9%Koploper van 15 uitkomsten
2030/01/01 88.9%Voorspellers
36
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd3 jan 24, 22:53 UTC2 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
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PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRegels
Each date resolves YES if a Starship that had flown to space (>100km altitude) returns to Earth in one piece, and then flies to space again, before that date, using local time at the launch site.
- Inspired by this market by the venerable @chrisjbillington, but with more dates https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/first-reflight-of-a-spaceflown-star
- Edit 1/8/2024: Changed responses to YYYY/MM/DD for easier sorting