Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2030-12-31 68.7%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+1.2 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd26 aug 26, 00:59 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
By when will an amateur rocket reach orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRegels
On or before the dates in question.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 85,3K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 153,6K
- 24u volume
- € 39,2K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 409,9K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor By when will an amateur liquid rocket break the Karman Line??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2030-12-31 op 69% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt By when will an amateur liquid rocket break the Karman Line? afgewikkeld?
- By when will an amateur liquid rocket break the Karman Line? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt By when will an amateur liquid rocket break the Karman Line? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: On or before the dates in question.