Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US civilians be killed on US soil by enemy action?
One-OffAmerikaanse politiekGeopolitiek2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 68.1%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd11 feb 25, 16:48 UTC3 feb 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an attack on US civilians committed primarily with drones with >9 casualties before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran strike US soil this year?
Manifold MarketsWill USDA APHIS confirm an African Swine Fever (ASF) case in any animal on US soil in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
This question is about civilian deaths due to state sponsored attacks only.
- Freelance terrorist attacks do not count unless found to have been directed and funded/equipped by a foreign government.
- The deaths need not however be directly due to conventional military operations, e.g. deaths due to covert Chinese government sabotage of US civilian infrastructure would count.
