Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
2029 40.1%-34.3ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
2029 40.1%-34.3ptVoorspellers
22
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-34.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 20 uur geleden
Verouderd13 nov 24, 11:10 UTC31 dec 29, 22:59 UTC
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[tweet]If the announcement is made that no further flights will happen, then the date of the announcement counts.
- If an announcement is made that it will be cancelled after the next flight, then the date of the next flight counts.
- If they then change their mind and don't fly it after all then it's the date of when they changed their mind, since that's a new announcement.
- Multiple answer market, anything before the date resolved No, anything after resolves Yes.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Mqrius/before-when-will-gateway-be-cancell)