Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index
One-OffMacro & Economy3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.9%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd17 okt 23, 00:49 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Gary Marcus claim to have a P(doom) of at or higher than 10% at some point before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
Manifold MarketsWill Rhode Island home prices rise YoY?
KalshiWill Nevada home prices rise YoY?
KalshiWill New Hampshire home prices rise YoY?
KalshiRegels
As of October, 2023, the Case Schiller index is at 310.
- At some point in the next 3+ years, before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will decline by 20% and the index will be less than 250.
- https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/indicators/sp-corelogic-case-shiller-us-national-home-price-nsa-index/#overview
Open markten
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 125,7K
- 24u volume
- € 47,4K
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 17,4K
- 24u volume
- € 17,4K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 16K
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 98% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index afgewikkeld?
- Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Before Jan 1, 2027, US home prices will at some point be 20% lower than today, as measured by Case Schiller index afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As of October, 2023, the Case Schiller index is at 310.